Match Algeria vs Austria June 28, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.76 — +11.4% better than the market.

Algeria show strong home momentum with a solid qualification run, boasting a high scoring rate and a decent defensive record. Their attacking threat is balanced by Austria's disciplined defense, which has kept more clean sheets and concedes fewer goals on average. The match hints at a tactical battle where Algeria's offensive edge meets Austria's compact block and efficient counterattacks.

Algeria's home form is impressive with multiple wins and a high goal output.
Austria's defense is resilient, often limiting opponents' chances.
Expect a moderately paced game with cautious approaches from both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.76

AI 63% Implied 57% Value

+11.4%

Expected value

⛀ Lineups

ALG 4-3-3 · AUS 4-2-3-1

ALG · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · AUS

10 Chaïbi

Subs used · ALG

71'

Ait-Nouri ↑ ·

Hadjam ↓

71'

Belaid ↑ ·

Gouiri ↓

71'

Chergui ↑ ·

Belghali ↓

90+4'

Ghedjemis ↑ ·

Aouar ↓

Subs used · AUS

46'

Gregoritsch ↑ ·

Arnautovic ↓

46'

Grillitsch ↑ ·

Schlager ↓

46'

Wanner ↑ ·

Schmid ↓

62'

Danso ↑ ·

Alaba ↓

90+5'

Kalajdzic ↑ ·

Mwene ↓

📊 Statistics

ALG 3 – 3 AUS

65%

Possession (%)

35%

1.62

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.44

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

94%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 3

11'

▮

M. Arnautovic

Yellow Card

28'

⚽

M. Arnautovic

Assist · D. Alaba · 0–1

R. Belghali

1–1

⚽

45'

Half-time · 1 – 1

46'

⇄

M. Gregoritsch ↓ · M. Arnautovic ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

F. Grillitsch ↓ · X. Schlager ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

P. Wanner ↓ · R. Schmid ↑

Substitution 3

55'

⚽

M. Sabitzer

Assist · K. Laimer · 1–2

R. Mahrez

Assist · H. Aouar · 2–2

⚽

60'

62'

⇄

K. Danso ↓ · D. Alaba ↑

Substitution 4

R. Ait-Nouri ↓ · J. Hadjam ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

Z. Belaid ↓ · A. Gouiri ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

S. Chergui ↓ · R. Belghali ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

R. Mahrez

Assist · H. Aouar · 3–2

⚽

90+3'

F. Ghedjemis ↓ · H. Aouar ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+4'

90+5'

⇄

S. Kalajdzic ↓ · P. Mwene ↑

Substitution 5

90+6'

⚽

S. Kalajdzic

Assist · M. Gregoritsch · 3–3

Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

Algeria and Austria drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 3 to 0. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.44 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: M. Arnautovic (28'), R. Belghali (45'), M. Sabitzer (55'), R. Mahrez (60'), R. Mahrez (90+3'), S. Kalajdzic (90+6').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.48 units (Brier 0.298).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.60	1.63	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.20	2.10	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.55	3.70	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	2.03	2.05	40%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.25	2.23	33%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	3.40	3.42	23%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.93	1.88	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.92	1.98	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.30	1.29	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.32	1.31	69%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 0.5	4.20	4.00	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.83	3.55	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.27	1.30	72%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.57	1.73	52%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.13	1.08	87%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.14	1.20	80%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Over 3.5	6.50	6.99	10%	Cashed	+5.50	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+2.48u	+15% ROI