Match Congo DR vs Uzbekistan June 27, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.91 — +14.6% better than the market.

World Cup Clash Preview

Congo DR and Uzbekistan both arrive with strong recent form, showing resilience and attacking intent. Congo DR's solid defense and high clean sheet rate suggest a compact block, while Uzbekistan's sharper offensive edge and higher goal average hint at a pressing style. The neutral venue levels the playing field, but expect a tactical battle with limited goals given both sides' disciplined setups and a tendency towards under 2.5 goals.

Congo DR's defensive solidity and clean sheets
Uzbekistan's attacking threat and higher goal rate
Neutral ground balancing home advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.91

AI 60% Implied 52% Value

+14.6%

Expected value

⛀ Lineups

CGO 4-4-2 · UZB 3-4-2-1

CGO · 4-4-2 3-4-2-1 · UZB

17 Bakambu

Subs used · CGO

51'

Mayele ↑ ·

Bakambu ↓

72'

Bongonda ↑ ·

Cipenga ↓

72'

Mukau ↑ ·

Moutoussamy ↓

72'

Elia ↑ ·

Mbuku ↓

83'

Kayembe ↑ ·

Masuaku ↓

Subs used · UZB

59'

Khamrobekov ↑ ·

Shukurov ↓

59'

Ganiev ↑ ·

Khamdamov ↓

73'

Urunov ↑ ·

Fayzullaev ↓

82'

Sergeev ↑ ·

Urozov ↓

82'

Iskanderov ↑ ·

Mozgovoy ↓

📊 Statistics

CGO 3 – 1 UZB

58%

Possession (%)

42%

2.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.27

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 3 – 1

10'

⚽

E. Shomurodov

Assist · A. Mozgovoy · 0–1

N. Sadiki

Yellow Card

▮

21'

43'

▮

A. Khusanov

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

48'

▮

S. Nasrullaev

Yellow Card

N. Mbuku

Yellow Card

▮

45+5'

F. Mayele ↓ · C. Bakambu ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

51'

59'

⇄

O. Khamrobekov ↓ · O. Shukurov ↑

Substitution 1

59'

⇄

A. Ganiev ↓ · D. Khamdamov ↑

Substitution 2

S. Moutoussamy

Yellow Card

▮

62'

Y. Wissa (P)

Penalty · 1–1

⚽

68'

T. Bongonda ↓ · B. Cipenga ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

N. Mukau ↓ · S. Moutoussamy ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

M. Elia ↓ · N. Mbuku ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

73'

⇄

O. Urunov ↓ · A. Fayzullaev ↑

Substitution 3

F. Mayele

2–1

⚽

78'

82'

⇄

I. Sergeev ↓ · J. Urozov ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

J. Iskanderov ↓ · A. Mozgovoy ↑

Substitution 5

J. Kayembe ↓ · A. Masuaku ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

Y. Wissa

Assist · M. Elia · 3–1

⚽

90+1'

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Congo DR beat Uzbekistan 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.35 to 0.27. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 4, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Shomurodov (10'), Y. Wissa (68'), F. Mayele (78'), Y. Wissa (90+1').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.35 units (Brier 0.266).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.73	1.67	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.69	1.70	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.30	2.10	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.61	1.72	53%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.14	2.22	35%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.08	2.05	35%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.20	8.47	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.00	3.00	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.38	5.00	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	1.21	87%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	1.17	72%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.92	3.58	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.00	3.80	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.05	82%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	1.36	59%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.22	1.25	53%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	4.00	13%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.35u	−14% ROI