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Home World World Cup Croatia — Ghana

Match Croatia vs Ghana June 27, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Croatia
Croatia
Home · last 5 L W W L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Jun · 21:00
2:1
Full-time
Ghana
Ghana
W D L L Away · last 5
Referee D. Fischer
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 71% · book 1.53
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 65% · book 1.70
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 50% · book 2.05
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.46 – 0.73
Δ −0.27
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.67 — +11.6% better than the market.

Croatia enters this World Cup clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and high goal-scoring rate in qualifiers. Their pressing edge and set-piece threat could challenge Ghana’s compact block. Ghana shows resilience and attacking intent but may struggle to break down Croatia’s disciplined defense. Expect a tactical battle with a moderate pace, leaning towards a tight, low-scoring affair.

  • Croatia’s defensive solidity and clean sheet frequency
  • Ghana’s consistent form but lower goal output
  • Likely cautious tempo with few clear chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.67
AI 67% Implied 60% Value
+11.6%
Expected value

Lineups

CRO 4-2-3-1 · GHA 4-3-3
Subs used · CRO
66' Matanovic ↑ · Budimir
78' Pasalic ↑ · Kovacic
88' Pasalic ↑ · Baturina
88' Gvardiol ↑ · Vlasic
Subs used · GHA
46' Peprah ↑ · Adjetey
46' Fatawu ↑ · Owusu
71' Thomas-Asante ↑ · Ayew
71' Nuamah ↑ · Sulemana
85' Yirenkyi ↑ · Sibo

📊 Statistics

CRO 21 GHA
53%
Possession (%)
47%
0.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.73
8
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots off Target
3
3
Shots Inside Box
3
3
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
13
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

14 · 2 – 1
P. Sucic
Assist · M. Kovacic · 1–0
31'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
K. Peprah ↓ · J. Adjetey ↑
Substitution 1
46'
I. Fatawu ↓ · E. Owusu ↑
Substitution 2
I. Matanovic ↓ · A. Budimir ↑
Substitution 1
66'
I. Perisic
Yellow Card
68'
71'
B. Thomas-Asante ↓ · J. Ayew ↑
Substitution 3
71'
E. Nuamah ↓ · K. Sulemana ↑
Substitution 4
73'
D. Luckassen
Assist · E. Nuamah · 1–1
M. Pasalic ↓ · M. Kovacic ↑
Substitution 2
78'
N. Vlasic
Assist · L. Modric · 2–1
83'
85'
C. Yirenkyi ↓ · K. Sibo ↑
Substitution 5
M. Pasalic ↓ · M. Baturina ↑
Substitution 3
88'
J. Gvardiol ↓ · N. Vlasic ↑
Substitution 4
88'
90+4'
K. Peprah
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Croatia beat Ghana 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.46 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: P. Sucic (31'), D. Luckassen (73'), N. Vlasic (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.92 units (Brier 0.193).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.53 1.53 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.70 1.69 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.05 1.93 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.73 1.81 50% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.20 2.43 33% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.06 2.12 35% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.00 2.75 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 6.58 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.50 5.49 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.21 1.18 87% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.15 1.17 77% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Draw 3.35 3.19 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.81 3.65 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.07 79% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.36 1.43 59% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.33 1.26 47% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.00 4.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.92u −29% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
CRO – GHA @ 1.67
+11.6%
Edge
Forecast →