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Home › World › World Cup › Paraguay — Australia

Predictions by Market: Paraguay vs Australia

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Paraguay
Paraguay
Home · last 5 L W D D L
Kick-off
Fri 26 Jun · 02:00
0:0
Full-time
Australia
Australia
W L D D Away · last 5
Referee C. Turpin

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAR
34%
Best 2.78
Draw
37%
Best 2.32
Away Win · AUS
29%
Best 4.50
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.85
Fair odds
3.47
book 3.85 · +10.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +10.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Draw is more likely (37%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw Best in group
Probability 37%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 19.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 76.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 27.9%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 90.5%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 9.5%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 34%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.8%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 35.4%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
PAR – AUS @ 3.85
+10.8%
Edge
Forecast →