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Home World World Cup South Africa — South Korea

Match South Africa vs South Korea June 25, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
South Africa
South Africa
Home · last 5 L D W L
Kick-off
Thu 25 Jun · 01:00
1:0
Full-time
South Korea
South Korea
W L L Away · last 5
Estadio BBVA · Monterrey Referee Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.75
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.77
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 46% · book 2.30
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.10 – 1.00
Δ +0.10
Possession
32% – 68%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.75 — +12.1% better than the market.

South Africa show strong home momentum with solid defensive resilience and a good scoring rate in qualifiers, while South Korea bring a sharper attack and tighter defense, suggesting a balanced clash. Both sides have similar corner stats and a tendency for under 2.5 goals, hinting at a tactical, cautious game.

  • South Africa's compact block and set-piece threat
  • South Korea's pressing edge and efficient attack
  • Likely moderate pace with focus on defensive organization

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed
AI 64% Implied 57% +0.75u
+75%
ROI on stake

Lineups

RSA 4-2-3-1 · KOR 3-4-2-1
Subs used · RSA
62' Moremi ↑ · Appollis
75' Rayners ↑ · Maseko
80' Adams ↑ · Mofokeng
Subs used · KOR
46' Heung-Min ↑ · Hee-Chan
46' Jin-Gyu ↑ · Seung-Ho
46' Castrop ↑ · Tae-Seok
66' Jin-Seob ↑ · Min-Jae
74' Gue-Sung ↑ · Hyeon-Gyu

📊 Statistics

RSA 10 KOR
32%
Possession (%)
68%
1.10
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.00
13
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
4
5
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
9
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

11 · 1 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
Son Heung-Min ↓ · Hwang Hee-Chan ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Kim Jin-Gyu ↓ · Paik Seung-Ho ↑
Substitution 2
46'
J. Castrop ↓ · Lee Tae-Seok ↑
Substitution 3
T. Moremi ↓ · O. Appollis ↑
Substitution 1
62'
T. Maseko
Assist · T. Moremi · 1–0
63'
66'
Park Jin-Seob ↓ · Kim Min-Jae ↑
Substitution 4
A. Modiba
Yellow Card
73'
74'
Cho Gue-Sung ↓ · Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑
Substitution 5
I. Rayners ↓ · T. Maseko ↑
Substitution 2
75'
79'
Cho Gue-Sung
Yellow Card
J. Adams ↓ · R. Mofokeng ↑
Substitution 3
80'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

South Africa beat South Korea 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 4 on target.

On the scoresheet: T. Maseko (63').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.09 units (Brier 0.246).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.75 1.80 64% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS No 1.77 1.75 63% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.30 2.30 46% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
Away Win 1.60 1.61 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.03 2.05 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.06 2.00 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 9.52 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.30 3.40 38% Cashed +2.30 Cashed
Home Win 5.63 5.88 22% Cashed +4.63 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.26 1.27 84% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.13 1.13 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.90 3.85 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.05 4.20 22% Cashed +3.05 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 82% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 1.32 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.22 1.21 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.60 3.70 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +4.09u +24% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 2 in the sample
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
RSA – KOR @ 1.75
+12.1%
Edge
Forecast →