Match Czech Republic vs Mexico June 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.73 — +12.2% better than the market.

Czech Republic enter this World Cup clash with solid qualification form, showing a strong attacking presence and a disciplined defense that kept clean sheets in half their matches. Their home momentum is backed by a high chance of goals but also a compact block that limits opponents' chances. Mexico's data is less clear, adding uncertainty, but expect a tactical battle with a cautious pace given the high probability of under 2.5 goals.

Czech Republic's effective set-piece threat and pressing edge
Mexico's unknown form adds unpredictability
Likely a tight, low-scoring encounter at Estadio Azteca

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.73 ✗ Lost

AI 65% Implied 58% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CZE 3-4-2-1 · MEX 4-3-3

CZE · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · MEX

9 Hložek

Subs used · CZE

56'

Provod ↑ ·

Visinsky ↓

64'

Schick ↑ ·

Hlozek ↓

64'

Soucek ↑ ·

Holes ↓

87'

Chory ↑ ·

Cerv ↓

87'

Sojka ↑ ·

Soucek ↓

Subs used · MEX

63'

Gimenez ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

63'

Vargas ↑ ·

Romo ↓

72'

Fidalgo ↑ ·

Mora ↓

78'

Ochoa ↑ ·

Rangel ↓

78'

Gallardo ↑ ·

Chavez Garcia ↓

📊 Statistics

CZE 0 – 3 MEX

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.47

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.79

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 3

Half-time · 0 – 0

55'

⚽

M. Chavez Garcia

Assist · L. Romo · 0–1

L. Provod ↓ · D. Visinsky ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

56'

61'

⚽

J. Quinones

Assist · J. Sanchez · 0–2

63'

⇄

S. Gimenez ↓ · G. Martinez ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⇄

O. Vargas ↓ · L. Romo ↑

Substitution 2

64'

▮

E. Alvarez

Yellow Card

P. Schick ↓ · A. Hlozek ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

T. Soucek ↓ · T. Holes ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

72'

⇄

A. Fidalgo ↓ · G. Mora ↑

Substitution 3

78'

⇄

G. Ochoa ↓ · R. Rangel ↑

Substitution 4

78'

⇄

J. Gallardo ↓ · M. Chavez Garcia ↑

Substitution 5

T. Chory ↓ · L. Cerv ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

A. Sojka ↓ · T. Soucek ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

90+4'

⚽

A. Fidalgo

Assist · R. Alvarado · 0–3

Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Mexico won 3–0 away at Czech Republic. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.79 to 0.47. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1.

On the scoresheet: M. Chavez Garcia (55'), J. Quinones (61'), A. Fidalgo (90+4').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.82 units (Brier 0.165).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.73	1.80	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.83	1.90	61%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.83	1.84	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.93	1.93	45%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.70	2.72	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.93	1.89	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.10	2.00	35%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.20	3.30	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.25	10.00	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.60	3.73	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.29	1.26	69%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.22	1.26	83%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.47	1.46	45%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Draw	3.90	3.85	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.04	86%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	1.30	61%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.80	3.70	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.82u	−28% ROI