Match Scotland vs Brazil June 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +14.7% better than the market.

Scotland show strong home momentum with solid scoring and defensive stats in their qualifiers, boasting a high chance of goals and a pressing edge. Brazil arrives with a slightly more cautious approach, reflected in their lower scoring rate and tighter defense. The match hints at a tactical battle with Scotland’s attacking vigor meeting Brazil’s disciplined backline. Expect a moderately paced game with a lean towards under 2.5 goals given both sides’ defensive resilience.

Scotland’s home scoring form and pressing intensity
Brazil’s compact defensive setup and measured attack
Moderate tempo favoring a controlled, tactical duel

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SCO 4-4-1-1 · BRA 4-3-3

SCO · 4-4-1-1 4-3-3 · BRA

20 Shankland

Subs used · SCO

46'

Tierney ↑ ·

Robertson ↓

82'

Ralston ↑ ·

Patterson ↓

82'

Christie ↑ ·

Gannon-Doak ↓

90+1'

Adams ↑ ·

Shankland ↓

90+1'

Curtis ↑ ·

McGinn ↓

Subs used · BRA

65'

Fabinho ↑ ·

Casemiro ↓

66'

Martinelli ↑ ·

Paqueta ↓

76'

Neymar ↑ ·

Cunha ↓

82'

Sandro ↑ ·

Santos ↓

82'

Endrick ↑ ·

Rayan ↓

📊 Statistics

SCO 0 – 3 BRA

47%

Possession (%)

53%

0.87

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

4.41

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

93%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 3

⚽

Vinicius Junior

Assist · Rayan · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

K. Tierney ↓ · A. Robertson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

45+3'

⚽

Vinicius Junior

Assist · Bruno Guimaraes · 0–2

60'

⚽

M. Cunha

Assist · Bruno Guimaraes · 0–3

62'

▮

Danilo

Yellow Card

65'

⇄

Fabinho ↓ · Casemiro ↑

Substitution 1

66'

⇄

G. Martinelli ↓ · Lucas Paqueta ↑

Substitution 2

76'

⇄

Neymar ↓ · M. Cunha ↑

Substitution 3

A. Ralston ↓ · N. Patterson ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

82'

R. Christie ↓ · B. Gannon-Doak ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

⇄

Alex Sandro ↓ · Douglas Santos ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

Endrick ↓ · Rayan ↑

Substitution 5

82'

▮

Fabinho

Yellow Card

R. Christie

Yellow Card

▮

89'

C. Adams ↓ · L. Shankland ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+1'

F. Curtis ↓ · J. McGinn ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+1'

Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Brazil won 3–0 away at Scotland. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 4.41 to 0.87. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 13, 9 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Vinicius Junior (7'), Vinicius Junior (45+3'), M. Cunha (60').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.47 units (Brier 0.111).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.00	2.00	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.57	1.57	66%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	1.80	43%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.33	2.33	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	3.05	3.45	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	12.05	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	7.75	10.00	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	4.00	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	6.23	7.25	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	1.37	78%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.08	1.04	81%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Away Win	1.36	1.30	61%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.11	1.08	61%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Draw	5.00	5.62	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.95	3.00	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.02	85%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	1.24	65%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.47u	−38% ROI