Match Morocco vs Haiti June 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.20 — +14.6% better than the market.

Morocco vs Haiti Preview

Morocco enters this World Cup clash with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a sturdy defense that has kept clean sheets in most qualifiers. Their attacking edge is clear, averaging nearly three goals per match, which contrasts with Haiti's more porous defense. Haiti shows resilience and decent scoring ability but concedes more, suggesting Morocco’s compact block and set-piece threat could dominate. Expect a controlled tempo with Morocco pressing high and Haiti looking to counter.

Morocco’s defensive solidity and home confidence
Haiti’s vulnerability at the back against a sharp attack
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.20

AI 52% Implied 45% Value

+14.6%

Expected value

⛀ Lineups

MAR 4-2-3-1 · HAI 4-4-2

MAR · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · HAI

20 Kaabi

Subs used · MAR

70'

Ounahi ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

70'

Rahimi ↑ ·

Saibari ↓

70'

Yassine ↑ ·

El Kaabi ↓

83'

Mazraoui ↑ ·

Salah-Eddine ↓

83'

El Mourabet ↑ ·

El Aynaoui ↓

Subs used · HAI

67'

Nazon ↑ ·

Providence ↓

67'

Deedson ↑ ·

Isidor ↓

80'

Arcus ↑ ·

Duverne ↓

80'

Simon ↑ ·

Jean Jacques ↓

83'

Pierrot ↑ ·

Joseph ↓

📊 Statistics

MAR 4 – 2 HAI

70%

Possession (%)

30%

3.26

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 4 – 2

10'

⚽

Bono

Own goal · 0–1

A. Hakimi

1–1

⚽

39'

43'

⚽

W. Isidor

Assist · J. Duverne · 1–2

I. Saibari

Assist · A. Hakimi · 2–2

⚽

45+1'

Half-time · 2 – 2

67'

⇄

D. Nazon ↓ · R. Providence ↑

Substitution 1

67'

⇄

L. Deedson ↓ · W. Isidor ↑

Substitution 2

A. Ounahi ↓ · B. Diaz ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

70'

S. Rahimi ↓ · I. Saibari ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

G. Yassine ↓ · A. El Kaabi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

S. Rahimi

Assist · C. Riad · 3–2

⚽

78'

79'

▮

D. Nazon

Yellow Card

79'

▮

J. Placide

Yellow Card

80'

⇄

C. Arcus ↓ · J. Duverne ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

D. Simon ↓ · D. Jean Jacques ↑

Substitution 4

N. Mazraoui ↓ · A. Salah-Eddine ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

S. El Mourabet ↓ · N. El Aynaoui ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

⇄

F. Pierrot ↓ · L. Joseph ↑

Substitution 5

G. Yassine

Assist · S. Rahimi · 4–2

⚽

89'

90+4'

▮

J. Casimir

Yellow Card

Full-time · 4 – 2

Match recap

Morocco beat Haiti 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.26 to 0.52. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 5, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Bono (10'), A. Hakimi (39'), W. Isidor (43'), I. Saibari (45+1'), S. Rahimi (78'), G. Yassine (89').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.85 units (Brier 0.210).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.50	2.50	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.60	1.53	48%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.62	2.38	26%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.49	2.43	28%	Cashed	+1.49	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	1.57	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.50	1.53	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	17.00	17.54	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	5.00	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.55	5.00	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	10.00	10.75	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.00	7.52	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.02	1.02	87%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Home Win	1.18	1.17	71%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.07	1.05	71%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	1.14	69%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−3.85u	−26% ROI