Match Switzerland vs Canada June 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.80 — +10.8% better than the market.

Switzerland arrives with solid home momentum, boasting a strong defensive record and efficient attack in recent qualifiers. Their compact block and set-piece threat make them tough to break down. Canada’s lack of qualification data adds uncertainty, but their underdog status might encourage a cautious approach.

Switzerland’s defensive resilience and goal-scoring consistency stand out.
Canada’s unknown form suggests a measured, possibly defensive game plan.
Expect a moderately paced match with chances for both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 56% +0.80u

+80%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SWI 4-2-3-1 · CAN 4-4-2

SWI · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · CAN

7 Embolo

Subs used · SWI

74'

Widmer ↑ ·

Jaquez ↓

74'

Aebischer ↑ ·

Sow ↓

80'

Ndoye ↑ ·

Vargas ↓

85'

Fassnacht ↑ ·

Manzambi ↓

85'

Itten ↑ ·

Embolo ↓

Subs used · CAN

58'

Eustaquio ↑ ·

Choiniere ↓

58'

Millar ↑ ·

Ahmed ↓

58'

Oluwaseyi ↑ ·

Larin ↓

75'

David ↑ ·

Buchanan ↓

83'

Shaffelburg ↑ ·

Laryea ↓

📊 Statistics

SWI 2 – 1 CAN

55%

Possession (%)

45%

1.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.27

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

32'

▮

C. Larin

Yellow Card

G. Xhaka

Yellow Card

▮

32'

Half-time · 0 – 0

R. Vargas

Assist · J. Manzambi · 1–0

⚽

46'

J. Manzambi

Assist · B. Embolo · 2–0

⚽

57'

58'

⇄

S. Eustaquio ↓ · M. Choiniere ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

L. Millar ↓ · A. Ahmed ↑

Substitution 2

58'

⇄

T. Oluwaseyi ↓ · C. Larin ↑

Substitution 3

S. Widmer ↓ · L. Jaquez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

74'

M. Aebischer ↓ · D. Sow ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

75'

⇄

P. David ↓ · T. Buchanan ↑

Substitution 4

76'

⚽

P. David

Assist · N. Saliba · 2–1

D. Ndoye ↓ · R. Vargas ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

83'

⇄

J. Shaffelburg ↓ · R. Laryea ↑

Substitution 5

C. Fassnacht ↓ · J. Manzambi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

C. Itten ↓ · B. Embolo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

87'

▮

L. Millar

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Switzerland beat Canada 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 6, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Vargas (46'), J. Manzambi (57'), P. David (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.09 units (Brier 0.136).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.10	2.20	58%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	1.80	62%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Home Win	2.39	2.48	43%	Cashed	+1.39	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	1.95	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.73	1.71	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.67	1.67	43%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.24	2.23	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.75	4.00	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	1.36	81%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.33	1.35	72%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Away Win	3.18	3.19	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.05	3.05	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	1.54	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.06	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.20	3.00	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	1.25	61%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.50	8.00	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.09u	−24% ROI