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Home › World › World Cup › Panama — Croatia

Match Panama vs Croatia June 23, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Panama
Panama
Home · last 5 L L L
Kick-off
Tue 23 Jun · 23:00
0:1
Full-time
Croatia
Croatia
L W W L Away · last 5
BMO Field · Toronto Referee Pierre Ghislain Atcho, Gabon
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 2.00 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.91 ✓
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 41% · book 2.78 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.06 – 0.05
Δ +0.01
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +14.7% better than the market.

Croatia arrives with strong momentum, boasting a potent attack and solid defensive record from UEFA qualifiers. Panama’s disciplined defense and home-like atmosphere at BMO Field could keep the game tight. Expect a tactical battle where Croatia’s pressing edge meets Panama’s compact block.

  • Croatia’s high scoring rate contrasts with Panama’s sturdy defense.
  • Panama’s recent form shows resilience with multiple clean sheets.
  • Neutral venue and cautious pace hint at a controlled, strategic match.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 50% +1.00u
+100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAN 3-4-3 · CRO 4-2-3-1
PAN · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · CRO 22 Mosquera 13 Ramos 3 Córdoba 16 Andrade 23 Murillo 14 Harvey 11 Bárcenas 2 Blackman 6 Martínez 17 Fajardo 7 Rodríguez 1 Livaković 2 Stanišić 6 Šutalo 3 Pongračić 4 Gvardiol 10 Modrić 8 Kovačić 24 Pašalić 16 Baturina 14 Perišić 26 Musa
Subs used · PAN
77' Waterman ↑ · Ramos ↓
83' Londono ↑ · Fajardo ↓
90' Davis ↑ · Blackman ↓
90' Rodriguez ↑ · Barcenas ↓
Subs used · CRO
46' Budimir ↑ · Musa ↓
46' Kramaric ↑ · Gvardiol ↓
72' Sucic ↑ · Pasalic ↓
72' Sucic ↑ · Kovacic ↓
81' Pasalic ↑ · Modric ↓

📊 Statistics

PAN 0 – 1 CRO
36%
Possession (%)
64%
0.06
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.05
1
Total Shots
2
0
Shots on Target
1
0
Shots off Target
1
1
Shots Inside Box
1
0
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
5
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0

⏱ Match events

12 · 0 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
A. Budimir ↓ · P. Musa ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
A. Kramaric ↓ · J. Gvardiol ↑
Substitution 2
54'
⚽
A. Budimir
Assist · J. Stanisic · 0–1
Y. Barcenas
Yellow Card
▮
61'
72'
⇄
L. Sucic ↓ · M. Pasalic ↑
Substitution 3
72'
⇄
P. Sucic ↓ · M. Kovacic ↑
Substitution 4
C. Waterman ↓ · J. Ramos ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
77'
81'
⇄
M. Pasalic ↓ · L. Modric ↑
Substitution 5
A. Londono ↓ · J. Fajardo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
83'
E. Davis ↓ · C. Blackman ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
90'
T. Rodriguez ↓ · Y. Barcenas ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90'
90+2'
▮
P. Sucic
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Croatia won 1–0 away at Panama. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes.

On the scoresheet: A. Budimir (54').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.64 units (Brier 0.150).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.00 2.20 57% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 1.93 59% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.78 2.78 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 1.67 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.85 1.85 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.10 12.99 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 6.50 7.52 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 4.50 32% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 1.45 76% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.10 1.08 80% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Away Win 1.53 1.45 56% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
AH Home 0 5.03 5.62 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.95 4.46 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.02 80% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.21 1.19 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.15 1.13 56% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 2.62 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.64u −16% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PAN – CRO @ 2.00
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →