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Home › World › World Cup › England — Ghana

Predictions by Market: England vs Ghana

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
England
England
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Tue 23 Jun · 20:00
0:0
Full-time
Ghana
Ghana
W D L L Away · last 5
Gillette Stadium · Boston Referee Said Martinez, Honduras

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ENG
73%
Best 1.20
Draw
17%
Best 7.50
Away Win · GHA
11%
Best 19.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.50
Fair odds
5.91
book 6.50 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 17% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (73%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 10.5%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 16.9%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.1%
Odds 4.45
Show model details
Implied probability 22.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 28.7%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.6%
Bet quality High
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 10.5%
Odds 9.15
Show model details
Implied probability 10.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 27.4%
Odds 4.37
Show model details
Implied probability 22.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
ENG – GHA @ 6.50
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →