P
Prognosist
P
Home World World Cup Portugal — Uzbekistan

Match Portugal vs Uzbekistan June 23, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup
Portugal
Portugal
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Tue 23 Jun · 17:00
5:0
Full-time
Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan
L L L Away · last 5
Referee Jalal Jayed, Morocco
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.40
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 33% · book 2.25
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 34% · book 2.18
Total goals
5
5 · 0
xG (open play)
2.41 – 0.25
Δ +2.16
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Portugal enters this World Cup clash with strong attacking momentum, averaging over three goals per match in qualifiers and creating plenty of chances. Their high pressing and offensive firepower contrast with Uzbekistan's more cautious approach, which features a solid defensive record and a compact block. The neutral venue may temper Portugal's home edge, but their sharper attack and recent form suggest they can control the game tempo.

  • Portugal's prolific scoring and chance creation
  • Uzbekistan's disciplined defense and clean sheet rate
  • Neutral ground reducing home advantage but favoring quality

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

POR 4-2-3-1 · UZB 3-4-2-1
Subs used · POR
46' Semedo ↑ · Cancelo
46' Conceicao ↑ · Neto
64' Trincao ↑ · Felix
76' Silva ↑ · Neves
83' Leao ↑ · Vitinha
Subs used · UZB
46' Alizhonov ↑ · Nasrullaev
46' Mozgovoy ↑ · Khamrobekov
73' Sergeev ↑ · Fayzullaev
90+2' Jiyanov ↑ · Karimov
90+2' Esanov ↑ · Shukurov

📊 Statistics

POR 50 UZB
66%
Possession (%)
34%
2.41
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.25
17
Total Shots
7
9
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
2
12
Shots Inside Box
4
3
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
15
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 5 – 0
C. Ronaldo
Assist · J. Cancelo · 1–0
6'
14'
O. Khamrobekov
Yellow Card
N. Mendes
2–0
17'
C. Ronaldo
Assist · B. Fernandes · 3–0
39'
Half-time · 3 – 0
N. Semedo ↓ · J. Cancelo ↑
Substitution 1
46'
F. Conceicao ↓ · P. Neto ↑
Substitution 2
46'
46'
K. Alizhonov ↓ · S. Nasrullaev ↑
Substitution 1
46'
A. Mozgovoy ↓ · O. Khamrobekov ↑
Substitution 2
A. Nematov
Own goal · 4–0
60'
Trincao ↓ · Joao Felix ↑
Substitution 3
64'
R. Veiga
Yellow Card
68'
73'
I. Sergeev ↓ · A. Fayzullaev ↑
Substitution 3
B. Silva ↓ · J. Neves ↑
Substitution 4
76'
R. Leao ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 5
83'
R. Leao
5–0
87'
90+2'
R. Jiyanov ↓ · B. Karimov ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
S. Esanov ↓ · O. Shukurov ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 5 – 0

Match recap

Portugal beat Uzbekistan 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.41 to 0.25. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 7, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.41 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: C. Ronaldo (6'), N. Mendes (17'), C. Ronaldo (39'), A. Nematov (60'), R. Leao (87').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.38 units (Brier 0.136).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.40 2.62 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.25 2.40 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.18 2.18 34% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.73 1.73 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 15.00 18.87 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.58 1.54 67% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.60 5.49 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.50 5.49 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 9.25 9.52 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.00 8.47 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 1.02 87% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.19 1.15 71% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.44 1.44 55% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.07 1.06 71% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.13 1.13 70% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −5.38u −36% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample