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Home › World › World Cup › France — Iraq

Predictions by Market: France vs Iraq

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
France
France
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Mon 22 Jun · 21:00
3:0
Full-time
Iraq
Iraq
L L L Away · last 5
Referee Drew Fischer, Canada

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FRA
79%
Best 1.13
Draw
13%
Best 13.00
Away Win · IRQ
8%
Best 36.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.38
book 6.00 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +11.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 8%
Odds 34.00
Show model details
Implied probability 2.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 12.7%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.1%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.6%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 1 market
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 8%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 20.7%
Odds 7.75
Show model details
Implied probability 12.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
FRA – IRQ @ 6.00
+11.5%
Edge
Forecast →