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Prognosist
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Home World World Cup Scotland — Morocco

Match Scotland vs Morocco June 19, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup
Scotland
Scotland
Home · last 5 W L L
Kick-off
Fri 19 Jun · 22:00
0:1
Full-time
Morocco
Morocco
W W D W L Away · last 5
Gillette Stadium · Boston Referee Ilgiz Tantashev, Uzbekistan
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.67
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.70
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 49% · book 2.08
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.54 – 0.95
Δ −0.41
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Scotland show strong home momentum with solid goal-scoring in qualifiers, but Morocco's flawless recent form and stingy defense give them a pressing edge. Scotland's attacking threat faces a compact Moroccan backline known for clean sheets, suggesting a tactical battle. The match likely leans toward a cautious tempo, with under 2.5 goals favored given both sides' defensive discipline.

  • Morocco's defensive resilience contrasts Scotland's higher goal concession.
  • Scotland's home energy versus Morocco's unbeaten streak.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a tight contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

SCO 3-4-2-1 · MAR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · SCO
60' Gannon-Doak ↑ · Tierney
71' Dykes ↑ · Adams
71' McLean ↑ · Christie
89' Ralston ↑ · Patterson
89' Stewart ↑ · McGinn
Subs used · MAR
84' Rahimi ↑ · Saibari
84' Talbi ↑ · El Khannouss
84' Amaimouni ↑ · Diaz
90' El Mourabet ↑ · Ounahi

📊 Statistics

SCO 01 MAR
41%
Possession (%)
59%
0.54
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.95
6
Total Shots
12
0
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
6
5
Shots Inside Box
9
1
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
8
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

12 · 0 – 1
2'
I. Saibari
Assist · B. Diaz · 0–1
23'
I. Diop
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
B. Gannon-Doak ↓ · K. Tierney ↑
Substitution 1
60'
A. Robertson
Yellow Card
65'
L. Dykes ↓ · C. Adams ↑
Substitution 2
71'
K. McLean ↓ · R. Christie ↑
Substitution 3
71'
84'
S. Rahimi ↓ · I. Saibari ↑
Substitution 1
84'
C. Talbi ↓ · B. El Khannouss ↑
Substitution 2
84'
A. Amaimouni ↓ · B. Diaz ↑
Substitution 3
A. Ralston ↓ · N. Patterson ↑
Substitution 4
89'
R. Stewart ↓ · J. McGinn ↑
Substitution 5
89'
90'
S. El Mourabet ↓ · A. Ounahi ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Morocco won 1–0 away at Scotland. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 6, 2 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1.

On the scoresheet: I. Saibari (2').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.28 units (Brier 0.139).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.67 1.67 64% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 1.70 1.67 62% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.08 2.20 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.74 1.66 51% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.20 2.25 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.07 2.12 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.90 3.00 38% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Home Win 5.00 5.88 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.18 1.13 77% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 8.40 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.20 1.21 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 3.60 3.65 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.05 87% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.36 1.37 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.62 4.22 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.00 4.05 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.28 1.22 51% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.28u −25% ROI