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Home › World › World Cup › Mexico — South Korea

Match Mexico vs South Korea June 19, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup
Mexico
Mexico
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Fri 19 Jun · 01:00
1:0
Full-time
South Korea
South Korea
W L L Away · last 5
Estadio Akron · Zapopan Referee Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.30 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 48% · book 2.04 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 49% · book 1.98 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.48 – 0.69
Δ −0.21
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Mexico vs South Korea Preview

With Mexico hosting at Estadio Akron, the match promises a balanced contest despite limited data on Mexico's recent form. South Korea arrives in solid shape, showing strong defensive resilience and a potent attack during qualifiers. Expect a tactical battle where Mexico's home momentum meets South Korea's disciplined structure. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight lean towards goals, reflecting South Korea's attacking edge and Mexico's home support.

  • South Korea's tight defense and efficient attack
  • Mexico's home advantage and motivation
  • Potential for a lively tempo with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MEX 4-3-3 · KOR 3-4-2-1
MEX · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · KOR 1 Rangel 2 Sánchez 4 Álvarez 5 Vásquez 23 Gallardo 7 Romo ⚽ 6 Lira 26 Gutiérrez 25 Alvarado 9 Jiménez 16 Quiñones 1 Seung-gyu 2 Lee 4 Min-jae 3 Lee 22 Seol 6 In-beom 8 Paik 15 Moon-hwan 19 Lee 10 Lee 7 Heung-min
Subs used · MEX
71' Pineda ↑ · Gutierrez ↓
71' Vargas ↑ · Romo ↓
80' Gimenez ↑ · Jimenez ↓
80' Reyes ↑ · Alvarado ↓
84' S. Huerta Valera ↑ · Quinones ↓
Subs used · KOR
57' Hee-Chan ↑ · Jae-Sung ↓
57' Hyeon-Gyu ↑ · Heung-Min ↓
71' Hyun-Jun ↑ · Young-Woo ↓
71' Ji-Sung ↑ · Moon-Hwan ↓
77' Gue-Sung ↑ · Seung-Ho ↓

📊 Statistics

MEX 1 – 0 KOR
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.48
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.69
8
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
4
5
Shots Inside Box
6
0
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
6
9
Fouls
7
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
0
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 0
4'
▮
Lee Kang-In
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
L. Romo
1–0
⚽
50'
57'
⇄
Hwang Hee-Chan ↓ · Lee Jae-Sung ↑
Substitution 1
57'
⇄
Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓ · Son Heung-Min ↑
Substitution 2
58'
▮
Paik Seung-Ho
Yellow Card
O. Pineda ↓ · B. Gutierrez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
71'
O. Vargas ↓ · L. Romo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
71'
71'
⇄
Yang Hyun-Jun ↓ · Seol Young-Woo ↑
Substitution 3
71'
⇄
Eom Ji-Sung ↓ · Kim Moon-Hwan ↑
Substitution 4
77'
⇄
Cho Gue-Sung ↓ · Paik Seung-Ho ↑
Substitution 5
S. Gimenez ↓ · R. Jimenez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
80'
I. Reyes ↓ · R. Alvarado ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
80'
C. S. Huerta Valera ↓ · J. Quinones ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Mexico beat South Korea 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball.

On the scoresheet: L. Romo (50').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.59 units (Brier 0.180).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.30 2.16 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.04 1.86 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.98 2.02 49% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.80 1.73 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.73 1.86 52% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.62 1.70 54% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.20 3.19 27% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.33 4.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.41 1.36 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 1.25 76% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.42 1.45 49% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.89 2.78 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 1.06 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Away Win 4.00 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.35 3.30 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.18 1.25 75% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 8.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.59u −21% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample