Match Canada vs Qatar June 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +14.5% better than the market.

Canada faces Qatar in a neutral World Cup clash with limited data on the host's recent form, adding uncertainty. Qatar's qualification run showed a solid attacking presence, often breaking defenses and creating chances, but their defense has been vulnerable. Expect a tactical battle where Qatar's offensive edge meets Canada's home momentum and physicality.

Qatar's goal threat from open play and set pieces
Canada's potential pressing and compact block
Moderate pace suggested by odds favors a controlled game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CAN 4-4-2 · QAT 4-3-3

CAN · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · QAT

9 Larin ⚽

Subs used · CAN

46'

Bombito ↑ ·

Cornelius ↓

57'

Saliba ↑ ·

Kone ↓

71'

Shaffelburg ↑ ·

De Fougerolles ↓

71'

Oluwaseyi ↑ ·

Ahmed ↓

83'

Sigur ↑ ·

Buchanan ↓

Subs used · QAT

40'

Al Brake ↑ ·

Abdurisag ↓

46'

Fathi ↑ ·

Junior ↓

46'

Al Mannai ↑ ·

Gaber ↓

59'

Al Hussain ↑ ·

Afif ↓

87'

Mendes ↑ ·

Fathi ↓

📊 Statistics

CAN 6 – 0 QAT

79%

Possession (%)

21%

4.11

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

64%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 6 – 0

D. Cornelius

Yellow Card

▮

C. Larin

1–0

⚽

16'

J. David

2–0

⚽

29'

33'

▮

H. Al Amin

Red Card

40'

⇄

S. Al Brake ↓ · Y. Abdurisag ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

A. Fathi ↓ · Edmilson Junior ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

M. Al Mannai ↓ · J. Gaber ↑

Substitution 3

M. Bombito ↓ · D. Cornelius ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

J. David

3–0

⚽

45+3'

53'

▮

A. O. Madibo

Red Card

N. Saliba ↓ · I. Kone ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

59'

⇄

A. Al Hussain ↓ · A. Afif ↑

Substitution 4

62'

▮

A. Fathi

Yellow Card

N. Saliba

4–0

⚽

64'

J. Shaffelburg ↓ · L. De Fougerolles ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

T. Oluwaseyi ↓ · A. Ahmed ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

M. Al Mannai

Own goal · 5–0

⚽

75'

N. Sigur ↓ · T. Buchanan ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

87'

⇄

Lucas Mendes ↓ · A. Fathi ↑

Substitution 5

J. David

Assist · N. Saliba · 6–0

⚽

90+2'

Full-time · 6 – 0

Match recap

Canada beat Qatar 6–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 79% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.11 to 0.18. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 30 shots to 2, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 18 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 6 from 4.11 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: C. Larin (16'), J. David (29'), J. David (45+3'), N. Saliba (64'), M. Al Mannai (75'), J. David (90+2'). H. Al Amin was sent off in the 33' minute. A. O. Madibo was sent off in the 53' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.20 units (Brier 0.183).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.00	2.15	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.44	2.18	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.79	1.73	43%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Away Win	11.00	10.75	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	4.20	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.68	3.50	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	1.41	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.45	7.14	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.52	1.64	68%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.04	1.05	85%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Home Win	1.27	1.30	67%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.08	1.08	67%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	5.50	5.49	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.88	2.75	22%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	1.20	65%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.20u	−28% ROI