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Ghana vs Panama 1:0: Match Review & Stats

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Ghana
Ghana
Home · last 5 W D L L
Kick-off
Wed 17 Jun · 23:00
1:0
Full-time
Panama
Panama
L L L Away · last 5
BMO Field · Toronto Referee Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.67 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.65 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.20 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.03 – 0.13
Δ −0.10
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.35 — +1.7% better than the market.

Ghana enters this World Cup clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and a high clean sheet rate in qualifiers. Their compact block and efficient attack, averaging over two goals per match, could challenge Panama's disciplined defense.

  • Ghana's home form shows resilience and goal threat.
  • Panama's organized defense and pressing style may limit chances.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical battles over open play.

Expect a tight contest where defensive solidity and set-piece moments might decide the outcome.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.35 ✗ Lost
AI 30% Implied 30% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GHA 4-4-1-1 · PAN 4-4-2
Subs used · GHA
46' Asare ↑ · Ati Zigi ↓
58' Fatawu ↑ · Nuamah ↓
58' Thomas-Asante ↑ · Sulemana ↓
78' Sibo ↑ · Owusu ↓
87' Adu ↑ · Ayew ↓
Subs used · PAN
63' Fajardo ↑ · Waterman ↓
63' Londono ↑ · Martinez ↓
74' Diaz ↑ · Rodriguez ↓
90' Godoy ↑ · Blackman ↓

Statistics

GHA 1 – 0 PAN
36%
Possession (%)
64%
0.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.13
1
Total Shots
3
0
Shots on Target
1
1
Shots off Target
1
1
Shots Inside Box
3
3
Offsides
1
3
Fouls
6
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

13 · 1 – 0
C. Yirenkyi
Yellow Card
▮
16'
Half-time · 0 – 0
B. Asare ↓ · L. Ati Zigi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
I. Fatawu ↓ · E. Nuamah ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
B. Thomas-Asante ↓ · K. Sulemana ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
58'
63'
⇄
J. Fajardo ↓ · C. Waterman ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
A. Londono ↓ · C. Martinez ↑
Substitution 2
72'
▮
C. Blackman
Yellow Card
74'
⇄
I. Diaz ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 3
K. Sibo ↓ · E. Owusu ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
P. Adu ↓ · J. Ayew ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
90'
⇄
A. Godoy ↓ · C. Blackman ↑
Substitution 4
C. Yirenkyi
Assist · B. Thomas-Asante · 1–0
⚽
90+5'
90+9'
▮
C. Harvey
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Ghana beat Panama 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball.

On the scoresheet: C. Yirenkyi (90+5').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.38 units (Brier 0.187).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.67 1.59 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.65 1.57 57% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.20 2.38 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 1.76 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 1.98 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.15 2.34 43% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.43 2.27 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.89 2.75 33% Cashed +1.89 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.56 1.64 43% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Away Win 3.35 3.28 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.39 1.41 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.20 1.18 78% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.27 4.50 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.06 89% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.10 7.52 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.32 1.33 70% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Draw 3.40 3.19 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.38u −20% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 3 in the sample
Value pick of the night · Away Win
GHA – PAN @ 3.35
+1.7%
Edge
Forecast →