Match Portugal vs Congo DR June 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Portugal enters this World Cup opener with strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack that averages over three goals per match in qualifiers. Their high pressing and sharp shooting create a clear offensive edge against Congo DR's disciplined but less prolific defense. Congo DR's solid defensive record and compact block suggest a cautious approach, likely limiting the goal frenzy.

Portugal's attacking firepower contrasts Congo DR's defensive resilience.
Home side's higher pace and shot volume may unsettle visitors.
Congo DR's clean sheet tendency hints at a structured defensive game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

POR 4-2-3-1 · CGO 5-3-2

POR · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · CGO

7 Ronaldo

Subs used · POR

46'

Conceicao ↑ ·

Silva ↓

71'

Leao ↑ ·

Neto ↓

72'

Semedo ↑ ·

Mendes ↓

83'

Ramos ↑ ·

Vitinha ↓

Subs used · CGO

57'

Sadiki ↑ ·

Mukau ↓

74'

Pickel ↑ ·

Kayembe ↓

74'

Kayembe ↑ ·

Masuaku ↓

85'

Banza ↑ ·

Bakambu ↓

85'

Kalulu ↑ ·

Wan-Bissaka ↓

📊 Statistics

POR 1 – 1 CGO

75%

Possession (%)

25%

0.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.82

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

92%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 1

J. Neves

Assist · P. Neto · 1–0

⚽

B. Silva

Yellow Card

▮

13'

32'

▮

C. Mbemba

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

F. Conceicao ↓ · B. Silva ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

45+5'

⚽

Y. Wissa

Assist · A. Masuaku · 1–1

57'

⇄

N. Sadiki ↓ · N. Mukau ↑

Substitution 1

R. Leao ↓ · P. Neto ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

N. Semedo ↓ · N. Mendes ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

74'

⇄

C. Pickel ↓ · E. Kayembe ↑

Substitution 2

74'

⇄

J. Kayembe ↓ · A. Masuaku ↑

Substitution 3

G. Ramos ↓ · Vitinha ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

85'

⇄

S. Banza ↓ · C. Bakambu ↑

Substitution 4

85'

⇄

G. Kalulu ↓ · A. Wan-Bissaka ↑

Substitution 5

N. Semedo

Yellow Card

▮

88'

T. Araujo

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Portugal and Congo DR drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 75% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Neves (6'), Y. Wissa (45+5').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.12 units (Brier 0.213).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.73	1.80	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	2.07	45%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	2.81	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.64	1.54	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.20	2.34	43%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Away Win	10.20	11.90	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	1.40	66%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.58	3.73	35%	Cashed	+2.58	Cashed
AH Away 0	7.00	7.41	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.55	5.49	19%	Cashed	+4.55	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.03	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	12.20	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	1.22	79%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	4.00	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	1.04	84%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.29	1.26	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.07	1.05	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.12u	+7% ROI