Match France vs Senegal June 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

France enter this neutral-venue clash with strong home momentum from their European qualifiers, boasting a potent attack and solid defense, reflected in frequent clean sheets and high goal output. Senegal impress with an unbeaten run and a disciplined backline, though their lower goal volume suggests a more cautious approach. The tactical battle will hinge on France's offensive pressure against Senegal's compact block and counterattacking threat.

France's attacking edge and set-piece threat
Senegal's defensive resilience and clean sheet record
Neutral ground may temper home advantage, favoring a tactical chess match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

FRA 4-2-3-1 · SEN 4-3-3

FRA · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · SEN

10 Mbappé ⚽

Subs used · FRA

80'

Barcola ↑ ·

Dembele ↓

87'

Cherki ↑ ·

Doue ↓

Subs used · SEN

75'

Mbaye ↑ ·

Sarr ↓

76'

Diarra ↑ ·

Camara ↓

83'

Ndiaye ↑ ·

Gueye ↓

83'

Dieng ↑ ·

Jackson ↓

88'

Ciss ↑ ·

Gueye ↓

📊 Statistics

FRA 3 – 1 SEN

54%

Possession (%)

46%

1.89

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.50

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 3 – 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

K. Mbappe

Assist · M. Olise · 1–0

⚽

66'

75'

⇄

I. Mbaye ↓ · I. Sarr ↑

Substitution 1

76'

⇄

H. Diarra ↓ · L. Camara ↑

Substitution 2

B. Barcola ↓ · O. Dembele ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

80'

B. Barcola

Assist · A. Rabiot · 2–0

⚽

82'

83'

⇄

I. Ndiaye ↓ · P. Gueye ↑

Substitution 3

83'

⇄

B. Dieng ↓ · N. Jackson ↑

Substitution 4

R. Cherki ↓ · D. Doue ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

87'

88'

⇄

P. Ciss ↓ · I. Gueye ↑

Substitution 5

90+5'

⚽

I. Mbaye

Assist · I. Ndiaye · 2–1

K. Mbappe

3–1

⚽

90+6'

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

France beat Senegal 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.89 to 0.50. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 6, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: K. Mbappe (66'), B. Barcola (82'), I. Mbaye (90+5'), K. Mbappe (90+6').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.38 units (Brier 0.162).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.63	2.70	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.12	2.12	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.73	1.73	55%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS No	1.71	1.81	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.07	1.93	45%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Away Win	7.00	6.99	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.46	1.45	58%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
AH Away 0	5.40	5.41	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.33	4.50	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.03	91%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	12.99	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.41	1.41	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.80	2.80	33%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	1.22	72%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.39	4.00	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.09	1.09	80%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.14	1.15	58%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.38u	−26% ROI