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Home › Ukraine › Ukraine Premier League › Shakhtar Donetsk — Karpaty

Predictions by Market: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty

Ukraine   /   Ukraine Premier League Value pick inside
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 13:30
3:0
Full-time
Karpaty
Karpaty
D L D W L Away · last 5
Arena Lviv · Lviv Referee O. Afanasyev

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SHA
79%
Best 1.22
Draw
16%
Best 5.40
Away Win · KAR
5%
Best 12.35
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.85
Fair odds
4.22
book 4.85 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 24% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (76%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 15.7%
Odds 6.64
Show model details
Implied probability 15.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.4%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.7%
Odds 4.85
Show model details
Implied probability 20.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.5%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.4%
Odds 9.30
Show model details
Implied probability 10.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 21.1%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SHA – KAR @ 4.85
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →