Match Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina June 12, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Canada faces Bosnia & Herzegovina in a neutral World Cup clash with limited form data for the hosts, adding uncertainty. Bosnia’s solid qualification run shows a sturdy defense and a reliable attack, averaging nearly two goals per game. Expect a tactical battle where Bosnia’s pressing and set-piece threat could challenge Canada’s home momentum. The odds hint at a moderately paced game with a slight lean towards under 2.5 goals.

Bosnia’s defensive resilience vs Canada’s unknown form
Neutral venue reduces home edge
Moderate goal environment suggested by market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

CAN 4-4-2 · BOS 4-4-2

CAN · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · BOS

12 Oluwaseyi

Subs used · CAN

61'

Shaffelburg ↑ ·

Millar ↓

61'

David ↑ ·

David ↓

61'

Ahmed ↑ ·

Buchanan ↓

76'

Larin ↑ ·

Oluwaseyi ↓

90+1'

Osorio ↑ ·

Eustaquio ↓

Subs used · BOS

62'

Bazdar ↑ ·

Lukic ↓

62'

Gigovic ↑ ·

Basic ↓

74'

Sunjic ↑ ·

Bajraktarevic ↓

74'

Alajbegovic ↑ ·

Memic ↓

84'

Burnic ↑ ·

Kolasinac ↓

📊 Statistics

CAN 1 – 1 BOS

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.98

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

64%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 1

A. Johnston

Yellow Card

▮

11'

21'

⚽

J. Lukic

Assist · S. Kolasinac · 0–1

45'

▮

E. Demirovic

Yellow Card

45+1'

▮

J. Lukic

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

L. De Fougerolles

Yellow Card

▮

53'

J. Shaffelburg ↓ · L. Millar ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

61'

P. David ↓ · J. David ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

A. Ahmed ↓ · T. Buchanan ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

61'

62'

⇄

S. Bazdar ↓ · J. Lukic ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⇄

A. Gigovic ↓ · I. Basic ↑

Substitution 2

74'

⇄

I. Sunjic ↓ · E. Bajraktarevic ↑

Substitution 3

74'

⇄

K. Alajbegovic ↓ · A. Memic ↑

Substitution 4

C. Larin ↓ · T. Oluwaseyi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

C. Larin

Assist · P. David · 1–1

⚽

78'

84'

⇄

D. Burnic ↓ · S. Kolasinac ↑

Substitution 5

J. Osorio ↓ · S. Eustaquio ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+1'

90+3'

▮

N. Katic

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 75% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Lukic (21'), C. Larin (78').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.95 units (Brier 0.161).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.98	1.93	50%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.67	1.62	57%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.17	2.29	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.78	1.72	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	2.07	47%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	1.80	1.80	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.00	2.80	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.63	4.63	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.05	89%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.22	1.20	77%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	4.26	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	8.00	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.35	1.40	69%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Draw	3.60	3.53	26%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.18	1.19	75%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.40	3.23	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.29	1.32	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.95u	−17% ROI