Match Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové May 24, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.11 — +14.8% better than the market.

Sparta Praha holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Hradec Králové. Their strong offensive output faces a less resilient away defense, suggesting chances to control the game. Recent form favors the hosts slightly, and their compact block combined with set-piece threat could limit Hradec's opportunities. Expect a measured tempo with a leaning towards under 2.5 goals given the cautious away approach.

Home attacking pressure vs away defensive gaps
Stable home form vs away inconsistency
Moderate pace with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.11 ✗ Lost

AI 54% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 4-4-2 · HRA 3-4-2-1

SPA · 4-4-2 3-4-2-1 · HRA

10 Kuchta

📊 Statistics

SPA 2 – 1 HRA

77%

Possession (%)

23%

1.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.08

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

92%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Praha beat Hradec Králové 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 77% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 5, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.71 units (Brier 0.116).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.11	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.01	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.62	—	64%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	46%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.31	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	—	46%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	74%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	86%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.24	—	64%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	91%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.10	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	71%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Away Win	5.18	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.94	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.71u	−34% ROI

Match Sparta Praha vs Hradec Králové May 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.11 — +14.8% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled