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Prognosist
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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Union St. Gilloise — Anderlecht

Match Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht May 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 L W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 16:30
5:1
Full-time
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
L D D W L Away · last 5
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels Referee Lawrence Visser, Belgium
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.83
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.75
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.10
Total goals
6
5 · 1
xG (open play)
2.40 – 0.87
Δ +1.53
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Union St. Gilloise enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, having outperformed Anderlecht in recent meetings. Their robust defensive setup combined with a potent attack against Anderlecht's less effective defense suggests control in key phases.

  • Home advantage likely to tilt the balance
  • Union's pressing and compact block challenge Anderlecht's attack
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

Anderlecht's recent form shows signs of struggle, especially away, making it tough to break down Union's disciplined lines. Expect a tactical battle with Union holding the upper hand but Anderlecht capable of moments on the break.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

GIL 51 AND
67%
Possession (%)
33%
2.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.87
22
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
4
16
Shots Inside Box
4
4
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
14
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Union St. Gilloise beat Anderlecht 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 4–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.40 to 0.87. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 9, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.40 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.72 units (Brier 0.130).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.83 53% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.75 55% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.10 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.70 34% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.63 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.50 68% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.12 88% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.15 68% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.58 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 78% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.39 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.90 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.80 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.10 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.50 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.72u −28% ROI