Match Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná May 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.14 — +14.3% better than the market.

Sigma Olomouc shows a slight home momentum edge with better recent form and a compact defensive setup that challenges Karviná's attacking attempts. Despite Karviná's marginally higher overall quality, Sigma's home advantage and pressing style could keep the match tight. Expect a cautious pace with limited clear-cut chances.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
Recent form favors Sigma's consistency
Moderate tempo suggests fewer goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.14 ✓ Cashed

AI 53% Implied 47% +1.14u

+114%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SIG 3-4-2-1 · KAR 4-2-3-1

SIG · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · KAR

10 Sejk

📊 Statistics

SIG 4 – 0 KAR

44%

Possession (%)

56%

2.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.38

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sigma Olomouc beat Karviná 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.06 to 0.38. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 7, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.06 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.60 units (Brier 0.179).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.30	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.60	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.14	—	53%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.62	—	49%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.55	—	28%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.56	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.65	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.40	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	76%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Home Win	1.53	—	55%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Draw	4.40	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	90%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	69%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.20	—	55%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.60u	−27% ROI