Match OH Leuven vs Genk May 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

OH Leuven vs Genk Preview

Genk holds a clear quality edge and looks to leverage their stronger attack against OH Leuven's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Despite Leuven's home momentum and compact block, Genk's recent form and offensive threat suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle with Genk pressing high and Leuven aiming to absorb pressure and counter.

Genk's attacking edge against Leuven's defense
Leuven's home resilience and compact shape
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LEU 3-4-2-1 · GEN 4-2-3-1

LEU · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · GEN

17 Vaesen

📊 Statistics

LEU 0 – 2 GEN

50%

Possession (%)

50%

0.95

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.47

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk won 2–0 away at OH Leuven. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.47 to 0.95. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 5 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.76 units (Brier 0.130).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.90	—	58%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.38	—	46%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
BTTS No	2.50	—	44%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.60	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.91	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.45	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.55	—	68%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.44	—	58%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.28	—	81%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.89	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.17	—	77%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.84	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.81	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.76u	−22% ROI