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Home Greece Super League 1 Panathinaikos — PAOK

Match Panathinaikos vs PAOK May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 16:30
2:2
Full-time
PAOK
PAOK
L W D D D Away · last 5
Referee G. Kikacheishvili
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.38
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.77
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.91
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.61 – 2.63
Δ −1.02
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

PAOK holds a clear quality edge over Panathinaikos, reflected in their stronger overall metrics and offensive firepower. Despite Panathinaikos' home advantage, their recent form shows inconsistency, while PAOK has steadier momentum. The tactical battle will likely see PAOK pressing high against a Panathinaikos defense that has struggled to contain attacks.

  • PAOK's superior attacking index challenges Panathinaikos' defense.
  • Home side's recent form suggests vulnerability under pressure.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a controlled, tactical game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

PAN 22 PAO
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.63
17
Total Shots
17
7
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
10
12
Shots Inside Box
15
10
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
8
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Panathinaikos and PAOK drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.63 to 1.61. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 6. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +0.56 units (Brier 0.285).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.38 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.77 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 45% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.85 47% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.01 41% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.70 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.30 79% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.05 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.43 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.72 26% Cashed +2.72 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.23 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 66% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Home Win 3.70 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.44 21% Cashed +2.44 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L +0.56u +4% ROI