Match Plzen vs FK Jablonec May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Plzen enters this clash with clear home momentum, showing stronger recent form and a notable quality edge over FK Jablonec. Their offensive prowess faces a less resilient away defense, suggesting chances to control the game. Jablonec’s struggles on the road and defensive vulnerabilities may invite pressure, while the match’s moderate pace hints at a tactical, measured battle rather than a goal-fest.

Home side’s pressing edge and set-piece threat
Jablonec’s defensive lapses under pressure
Moderate tempo favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PLZ 4-2-3-1 · JAB 3-4-1-2

PLZ · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · JAB

11 Vydra

📊 Statistics

PLZ 5 – 0 JAB

63%

Possession (%)

37%

2.92

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Plzen beat FK Jablonec 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 4–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.92 to 0.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.92 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.78 units (Brier 0.161).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.10	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.90	—	56%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.63	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.73	—	45%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.62	—	25%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Home Win	1.50	—	67%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.92	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.12	—	88%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.14	—	67%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.30	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	90%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.30	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	—	69%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Away Win	6.04	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.45	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.78u	−28% ROI