Match Lausanne vs Grasshoppers May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.67 — +10.6% better than the market.

Lausanne holds a clear quality edge and a solid home defensive record, making them tough to break down at Stade de la Tuiliere. Despite recent mixed form, their home momentum and defensive solidity could frustrate Grasshoppers, who show signs of struggle away and possess a less potent attack. The match hints at a controlled tempo with moderate goal expectations, favoring a tight contest.

Home defensive resilience versus away offensive limitations
Recent form slightly favors Lausanne’s home stability
Moderate pace suggests fewer high-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.67 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LAU 4-3-1-2 · GRA 4-2-3-1

LAU · 4-3-1-2 4-2-3-1 · GRA

22 Kana-Biyik

16 Mantini

35 Kouam

55 Papic

11 Diarrassouba

56 Sahin

36 Fiechter

📊 Statistics

LAU 1 – 3 GRA

54%

Possession (%)

46%

2.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Grasshoppers won 3–1 away at Lausanne. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.48 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.67 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.28 units (Brier 0.328).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.67	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.70	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.75	—	32%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.17	—	34%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Home Win	1.50	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	88%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	54%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.22	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.48	—	55%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 0.5	19.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	4.75	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.14	—	78%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Away Win	6.00	—	12%	Cashed	+5.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	4.15	—	12%	Cashed	+3.15	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.28u	+19% ROI