Match Baník Ostrava vs Zlin May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.94 — +14.6% better than the market.

Zlin enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Baník Ostrava’s defensive struggles contrast with Zlin’s sharper attack, hinting at a tactical mismatch favoring the visitors. However, Baník’s home momentum and compact block could limit goal opportunities, making a tight, low-scoring game likely.

Zlin’s offensive pressure vs Baník’s leaky defense
Home side’s resilience and set-piece threat
Recent form favors Zlin’s confidence

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 52% +0.94u

+94%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

OST 3-4-2-1 · ZLI 4-2-3-1

OST · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · ZLI

12 Gning

📊 Statistics

OST 2 – 0 ZLI

70%

Possession (%)

30%

2.23

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.00

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

63%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Baník Ostrava beat Zlin 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.23 to 0.00. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 0, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.70 units (Brier 0.113).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.94	—	59%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
BTTS No	1.87	—	59%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.50	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.87	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.00	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.50	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.33	—	80%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	76%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Home Win	1.55	—	54%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
AH Away 0	4.30	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.10	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	87%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	63%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.14	—	54%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.70u	−34% ROI