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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Basel 1893 — FC ST. Gallen

Predictions by Market: FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Home · last 5 L W L L L
Kick-off
Thu 14 May · 14:30
1:3
Full-time
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
W L W W D Away · last 5
St. Jakob-Park · Basel Referee L. Fahndrich

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAS
31%
Best 2.60
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · GAL
46%
Best 2.50
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.65
book 2.88 · +8.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 38% · EV +8.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (62%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 31.3%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.1%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.8%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.9%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.1%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 31.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
BAS – GAL @ 2.88
+8.7%
Edge
Forecast →