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Rangers vs Hibernian 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Rangers
Rangers
Home · last 5 L L L L W
Kick-off
Wed 13 May · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Hibernian
Hibernian
L L W W L Away · last 5
Ibrox Stadium · Glasgow Referee M. MacDermid
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.30 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.45 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 33% · book 2.62 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.55 – 1.54
Δ +0.01
Possession
72% – 28%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.57 — +11.4% better than the market.

Rangers hold a clear quality edge at home, backed by a strong attacking setup against a less robust Hibernian defense. Despite recent mixed form, Rangers’ home momentum and defensive solidity suggest they can control the game tempo. The match hints at a moderately paced contest with under 2.5 goals likely, given both sides' cautious recent results and a compact defensive approach.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive resilience
  • Rangers’ home form and tactical discipline
  • Moderate pace favoring a tight scoreline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.57 ✓ Cashed
AI 71% Implied 64% +0.57u
+57%
ROI on stake

Statistics

RAN 1 – 2 HIB
72%
Possession (%)
28%
1.55
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.54
22
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
3
16
Shots Inside Box
7
9
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
12
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match recap

Hibernian won 2–1 away at Rangers. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 8, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.80 units (Brier 0.298).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.30 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.45 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.62 — 33% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 48% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.45 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.57 — 71% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.57 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 — 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.20 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.57 — 51% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Draw 4.75 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 — 90% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 — 71% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Away Win 5.75 — 13% Cashed +4.75 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.40 — 13% Cashed +3.40 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +2.80u +16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
RAN – HIB @ 1.57
+11.4%
Edge
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