Match Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos May 13, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.87 — +7.4% better than the market.

Olympiakos Piraeus holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Panathinaikos, who have struggled to keep pace recently. The home side's defensive solidity contrasts with the visitors' less effective backline, suggesting a tactical advantage in controlling the game. Both teams have shown mixed form, but Olympiakos' ability to press and capitalize on set-pieces could be decisive.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Recent form favors Olympiakos
Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely

Panathinaikos may look to disrupt with quick transitions but face a tough challenge breaking down a compact Olympiakos defense. The visitors' offensive threat is limited, and their away struggles continue. Expect a cautious game with few clear-cut chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 53% +0.87u

+87%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

OLY 4-2-3-1 · PAN 4-2-3-1

OLY · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · PAN

99 Taremi

📊 Statistics

OLY 1 – 0 PAN

54%

Possession (%)

46%

2.00

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

64%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Olympiakos Piraeus beat Panathinaikos 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

For accuracy, the hosts completed 73% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.00 to 0.21. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 5, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.46 units (Brier 0.135).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.87	—	57%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
BTTS No	1.65	—	59%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.38	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.94	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.42	—	71%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.18	—	33%	Cashed	+2.18	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.00	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.08	—	71%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.18	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.27	—	77%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Draw	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	8.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.65	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−3.46u	−23% ROI