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Home › Greece › Super League 1 › Volos NFC — Aris Thessalonikis

Volos NFC vs Aris Thessalonikis 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Volos NFC
Volos NFC
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Wed 13 May · 14:00
1:2
Full-time
Aris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis
W W W W W Away · last 5
Panthessaliko Stadium · Volos Referee A. Sidiropoulos
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.91 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.76 ✗
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 63% · book 1.73 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.39 – 1.40
Δ −1.01
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.76 — +13.4% better than the market.

Volos NFC holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a compact defensive setup against Aris Thessalonikis. Recent form favors Aris, who bring momentum and a sharper attack, but Volos’ defensive solidity could limit clear chances. Expect a tactical battle with restrained pace, leaning towards a low-scoring affair.

  • Volos’ home defensive strength vs Aris’ pressing attack
  • Aris’ recent winning streak vs Volos’ mixed form
  • Odds suggest a cautious game under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.76 ✗ Lost
AI 64% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

VOL 1 – 2 ARI
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.40
7
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
11
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Aris Thessalonikis won 2–1 away at Volos NFC. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.40 to 0.39. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.42 units (Brier 0.240).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.91 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.76 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.73 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.57 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.20 — 37% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 — 39% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.10 — 36% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.12 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.58 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.30 — 64% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.23 — 84% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Draw 3.30 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.47 — 37% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 — 61% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.44 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −3.42u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
VOL – ARI @ 1.76
+13.4%
Edge
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