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Home Hradec Králové — Slovan Liberec

Match Hradec Králové vs Slovan Liberec May 13, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Hradec Králové
Hradec Králové
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Wed 13 May · 15:30
1:0
Full-time
Slovan Liberec
Slovan Liberec
L L L L L Away · last 5
Malšovická Aréna · Hradec Králové Referee O. Berka
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.85
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 2.05
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 42% · book 2.43
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.37 – 0.86
Δ +0.51
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.85 — +14.6% better than the market.

Hradec Králové shows stronger recent form and a slight edge in overall quality, especially at home where their defensive solidity stands out. The home side's pressing and compact block could frustrate Slovan Liberec, who struggle to break down organized defenses despite decent offensive numbers. Expect a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances, favoring a low-scoring affair.

  • Home defensive resilience vs away attacking efforts
  • Recent home momentum against away inconsistency
  • Moderate pace suggested by odds, hinting at controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.85 ✓ Cashed
AI 62% Implied 54% +0.85u
+85%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

HRA 10 LIB
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.37
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.86
11
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
8
9
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
20
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Hradec Králové beat Slovan Liberec 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.37 to 0.86. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 11, 2 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.97 units (Brier 0.193).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.85 62% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 56% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Home Win 2.43 42% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.00 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.74 42% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.01 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.40 69% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.28 38% Cashed +2.28 Cashed
Away Win 2.88 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.53 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 81% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.08 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.30 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −0.97u −6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
HRA – LIB @ 1.85
+14.6%
Edge
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