Match Kilmarnock vs Dundee May 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +14.7% better than the market.

Kilmarnock and Dundee face off in a tightly matched Premiership clash with minimal quality gap. Kilmarnock holds a slight home edge, benefiting from a more solid defensive setup against Dundee's average attack. Both sides share similar recent form, suggesting a balanced contest with limited goal-scoring opportunities. Expect a compact game where defensive discipline and set-piece moments could be decisive.

Home defensive resilience vs away attack
Similar recent form trends
Low-scoring, tactical battle likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KIL 4-2-3-1 · DUN 3-5-2

KIL · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · DUN

19 Anderson

📊 Statistics

KIL 3 – 1 DUN

52%

Possession (%)

48%

3.38

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.43

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kilmarnock beat Dundee 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.38 to 0.43. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 7, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.44 units (Brier 0.246).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.00	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.78	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.00	—	41%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	46%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	—	43%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.80	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	66%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.10	—	21%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	88%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.42	—	41%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	66%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.44u	−20% ROI