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Home Switzerland Super League BSC Young Boys — FC Basel 1893

Match BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 14:30
3:0
Full-time
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
L W L L L Away · last 5
Stadion Wankdorf · Bern Referee Sandro Schärer, Switzerland
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 58% · book 1.88
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 1.92
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 42% · book 1.89
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.85 – 1.24
Δ +1.61
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.88 — +8.5% better than the market.

BSC Young Boys hold a clear quality edge and benefit from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Stadion Wankdorf. Despite recent struggles, their offensive edge against Basel's defense hints at some goal threat, while Basel's defensive solidity may keep things tight. The recent head-to-heads show potential for a competitive match with goals, but the pace may lean towards a controlled, tactical battle.

  • Home momentum slightly dented but still favored
  • Basel’s defense tested by home attack
  • Moderate pace with tactical discipline expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.88 ✓ Cashed
AI 58% Implied 53% +0.88u
+88%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

YOU 30 BAS
55%
Possession (%)
45%
2.85
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.24
25
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
6
12
Shots off Target
4
16
Shots Inside Box
10
5
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
10
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

BSC Young Boys beat FC Basel 1893 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.85 to 1.24. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 11, 8 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.08 units (Brier 0.149).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.88 58% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Home Win 1.92 57% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.89 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.84 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.47 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 3.02 36% Cashed +2.02 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.94 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.30 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 79% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.43 57% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Draw 4.20 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.06 83% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.36 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.31 63% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Away Win 3.37 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −3.08u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
YOU – BAS @ 1.88
+8.5%
Edge
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