Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 5.06 — +11.1% better than the market.

Olympiakos Piraeus holds a slight edge in quality and home momentum, reflected in their stronger recent form and a compact defensive setup that challenges PAOK's attack. The home side’s offensive pressure meets a resilient PAOK defense, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

Home advantage favors Olympiakos with a pressing edge.
PAOK’s defense is tested but remains sturdy.
Moderate pace expected, leaning towards a controlled game.

Expect a tight contest where Olympiakos’ home rhythm and defensive solidity could limit goals, while PAOK aims to exploit set-pieces and counter-attacks. The match may tilt towards a low-scoring affair with disciplined tactical play on both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 5.06 ✗ Lost

AI 22% Implied 20% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

OLY 4-2-3-1 · PAO 4-2-3-1

OLY · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · PAO

9 Kaabi

Statistics

OLY 1 – 1 PAO

56%

Possession (%)

44%

2.10

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.80

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

67%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Olympiakos Piraeus and PAOK drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 75% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.10 to 0.80. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 8, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.71 units (Brier 0.164).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.20	—	48%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.73	—	59%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS No	1.77	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	45%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	1.69	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.04	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.06	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.10	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	78%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.26	—	78%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	89%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	67%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.90	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.22	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.71u	−16% ROI

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled