Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI 3:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.20 — +13.9% better than the market.

Aris Thessalonikis hosts OFI in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, backed by stronger overall metrics and offensive potential. Despite Aris's home momentum and a compact defensive block, OFI's sharper attack and recent form suggest they can challenge effectively. The tactical battle will likely see cautious play, with both teams mindful of defensive solidity.

OFI's offensive edge against Aris's defense could unlock key moments.
Aris benefits from home support but faces a pressing challenge.
Expect a measured tempo favoring under 2.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.20 ✗ Lost

AI 52% Implied 45% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ARI 4-4-2 · CRE 3-4-3

ARI · 4-4-2 3-4-3 · CRE

28 Dudu

Statistics

ARI 3 – 1 CRE

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aris Thessalonikis beat OFI 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.84 units (Brier 0.257).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.68	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.20	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.75	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.67	—	48%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.05	—	39%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.10	—	35%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.04	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	73%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.25	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	86%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.35	—	61%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.60	—	18%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.20	—	48%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.84u	−17% ROI

Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled