ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock 0:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.06 — +13.4% better than the market.

ST Mirren hosts Kilmarnock in a tightly poised Premiership clash at The SMISA Stadium. Despite Kilmarnock's higher overall strength, ST Mirren's recent home momentum and a compact defensive block could keep the game tight. Both sides show similar expected goals, hinting at a cautious pace and limited clear-cut chances.

ST Mirren's home edge in defense may frustrate Kilmarnock's attack.
Recent form slightly favors ST Mirren, adding confidence.
Low tempo expected, favoring a tactical, measured battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.06 ✓ Cashed

AI 55% Implied 49% +1.06u

+106%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MIR 3-4-3 · KIL 4-3-3

MIR · 3-4-3 4-3-3 · KIL

7 Idowu

Statistics

MIR 0 – 3 KIL

59%

Possession (%)

41%

0.78

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.15

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kilmarnock won 3–0 away at ST Mirren. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 1. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.15 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.96 units (Brier 0.200).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.97	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.06	—	55%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	59%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.75	—	34%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Home Win	1.95	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.91	—	41%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.80	—	34%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	—	79%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.20	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.42	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.55	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	82%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	64%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.96u	−6% ROI

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled