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Home › Greece › Super League 1 › Atromitos — Panetolikos

Atromitos vs Panetolikos 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Atromitos
Atromitos
Home · last 5 L L W L W
Kick-off
Sat 09 May · 16:30
1:2
Full-time
Panetolikos
Panetolikos
L W D D L Away · last 5
Referee M. Matsoukas
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.91 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 66% · book 1.68 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.15 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.95 – 1.08
Δ −0.13
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.15 — +13.2% better than the market.

Atromitos hold a clear quality edge and home momentum after recent wins, while Panetolikos struggle to find consistency away. The home side's defensive solidity contrasts with the visitors' moderate attacking threat, suggesting a tactical battle favoring a compact block and controlled tempo. Expect a cautious game with limited chances, supported by strong signals for under 2.5 goals and a low likelihood of both teams scoring.

  • Home defensive resilience vs away attack
  • Recent form favors Atromitos
  • Low pace and goal environment expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.15 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 47% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ATR 1 – 2 PAN
70%
Possession (%)
30%
0.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.08
10
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
17
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Panetolikos won 2–1 away at Atromitos. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.69 units (Brier 0.285).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.91 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.68 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.15 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.69 — 47% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 39% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.15 — 34% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.38 — 21% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.00 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 — 84% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.33 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.55 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.42 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 84% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.36 — 59% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Away Win 3.50 — 21% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.82 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.69u −10% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
ATR – PAN @ 2.15
+13.2%
Edge
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