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Home › England › Premier League › Newcastle — Manchester City

Predictions by Market: Newcastle vs Manchester City

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 17:30
2:1
Full-time
Manchester City
Manchester City
D W W D L Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Samuel Barrott, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NEW
20%
Best 3.73
Draw
24%
Best 3.70
Away Win · MCI
57%
Best 1.97
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.34
Fair odds
1.25
book 1.34 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 80% · EV +7.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 56.5%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 19.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.7%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 19.7%
Odds 2.77
Show model details
Implied probability 36.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 43.5%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
NEW – MCI @ 1.34
+7.6%
Edge
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