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Home › Ukraine › Ukraine Premier League › Polessya — Shakhtar Donetsk

Predictions by Market: Polessya vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Ukraine   /   Ukraine Premier League Value pick inside
Polessya
Polessya
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 15:00
0:0
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
W W W W L Away · last 5
Tsentralnyi Stadion · Zhytomyr Referee Oleksandr Afanasiev, Ukraine

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · POL
17%
Best 3.95
Draw
25%
Best 3.42
Away Win · SHA
59%
Best 1.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.16
book 3.60 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 32% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 16.8%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 16.8%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 83.2%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
POL – SHA @ 3.60
+14.0%
Edge
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