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Home › Ukraine › Ukraine Premier League › Kudrivka — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Ukraine   /   Ukraine Premier League Value pick inside
Kudrivka
Kudrivka
Home · last 5 W W L D D
Kick-off
Fri 26 Sep · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
D D W D D Away · last 5
Obolon Arena · Kyiv Referee Dmitriy Kubryak, Ukraine
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 44% · book 2.52 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 65% · book 1.63 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.93 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
AI accuracy
3 / 6
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.52 — +10.0% better than the market.

This match features a home side with a clear edge in overall strength and recent home form, despite some inconsistency. Kudrivka’s attacking potential at home is moderate, while their defense shows reasonable solidity. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi struggles on the road with a weaker attack and a leaky defense, reflected in their poor away form. The game is likely to be competitive but with a slight lean towards a home win given the home advantage and better recent points per game. The goal expectancy suggests a moderately low-scoring encounter, favoring under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring. Double chance on the home side or draw offers a safer option. Value is found in the home win and under 2.5 goals markets, with some edge also on BTTS yes due to the home side’s ability to score and the away side’s defensive vulnerabilities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 2.52 ✓ Cashed
AI 44% Implied 40% +1.52u
+152%
ROI on stake

Lineups

KUD 4-2-3-1 · EPI 4-3-3
Subs used · KUD
46' Owusu ↑ · Lyegostayev ↓
71' Rogozynskyi ↑ · Morozko ↓
71' Totovytskyi ↑ · Storchous ↓
81' Svityukha ↑ · Kozak ↓
86' Veklyak ↑ · Losenko ↓
Subs used · EPI
61' Myronyuk ↑ · Geovane ↓
68' Bezhenar ↑ · Demchenko ↓
68' Boryachuk ↑ · Sydun ↓
86' Lyashenko ↑ · Ceberio ↓
86' Yanakov ↑ · Kyryukhantsev ↓

Match events

16 · 2 – 1
33'
⚽
J. Ceberio
Assist · V. Moroz · 0–1
Maksym Melnychuk
Yellow Card
▮
36'
Half-time · 0 – 1
Miroslav Serdyuk
Yellow Card
▮
46'
R. Owusu ↓ · A. Lyegostayev ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
61'
⇄
M. Myronyuk ↓ · Geovane ↑
Substitution 1
V. Moroz
Own goal · 1–1
⚽
65'
68'
⇄
A. Bezhenar ↓ · Y. Demchenko ↑
Substitution 2
68'
⇄
A. Boryachuk ↓ · V. Sydun ↑
Substitution 3
V. Rogozynskyi ↓ · Y. Morozko ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
71'
A. Totovytskyi ↓ · A. Storchous ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
D. Svityukha ↓ · O. Kozak ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
81'
85'
▮
Stepan Grigorashchuk
Yellow Card
A. Totovytskyi (P)
Penalty · 2–1
⚽
85'
B. Veklyak ↓ · I. Losenko ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
86'
⇄
A. Lyashenko ↓ · J. Ceberio ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
D. Yanakov ↓ · I. Kyryukhantsev ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Kudrivka beat Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the scoresheet: J. Ceberio (33'), V. Moroz (65'), A. Totovytskyi (85').

Model audit for this match: of 6 graded markets, 3 landed and 3 missed, for a net -0.15 units (Brier 0.199).

Bet recap · markets settled

6 · 3 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.52 — 44% Cashed +1.52 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.63 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.93 — 55% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.40 — 70% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Away Win 2.95 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.18 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 6 markets @ 1u each — — — 3 W · 3 L −0.15u −3% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
KUD – EPI @ 2.52
+10.0%
Edge
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