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Home › England › Premier League › Crystal Palace — Brighton

Predictions by Market: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L D L D L
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 14:00
0:0
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London Referee Tim Robinson, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CRY
35%
Best 2.28
Draw
26%
Best 3.44
Away Win · BRI
39%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.90
Fair odds
2.53
book 2.90 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 39% · EV +14.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (61%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 39.3%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.3%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 34.9%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
CRY – BRI @ 2.90
+14.5%
Edge
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