P
Prognosist
P
Home › England › Premier League › Chelsea — Wolves

Predictions by Market: Chelsea vs Wolves

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 20:00
3:0
Full-time
Wolves
Wolves
L D L D D Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Andrew Kitchen, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CHE
73%
Best 1.38
Draw
19%
Best 5.00
Away Win · WOL
8%
Best 7.70
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.36
Fair odds
2.09
book 2.36 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (52%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.7%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 8.2%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.9%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30.5%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.8%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.8%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 8.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.23
Show model details
Implied probability 31%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
CHE – WOL @ 2.36
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →