04.04.2026 18:30
St. Jakob-Park
Home Win
31.4%
Draw
23.3%
Away Win
45.3%
| Best Bet: | Under 3.5 |
| Odds: | 1.81 |
| Estimated Probability: | 63.23% |
| Implied Probability: | 55.25% |
| Expected Value: | 1.144 |
| Value Bet: | Yes ✅ |
FC Basel 1893 hosts BSC Young Boys in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but Basel's home momentum and defensive solidity could keep things tight. Basel's pressing and compact block may challenge Young Boys' attack, which has been less effective defensively. The recent form favors Basel slightly, suggesting a competitive encounter with potential for a cautious tempo given the moderate goal expectations.
- Basel's home defensive resilience vs Young Boys' attack
- Young Boys' overall quality advantage
- Form edge and tactical discipline favor Basel
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | FC Basel 1893 | BSC Young Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.89 | 0.74 |
| Shots on Target | 5.88 | 4.52 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 4.92 |
| Possession (%) | 54.25 | 52.88 |
| Efficiency index | 92.04 | 111.63 |
| Adjusted index | 100.64 | 106.53 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.