Home Win
29.5%
Draw
26.6%
Away Win
44%

Best Bet: BTTS No
Odds: 2.06
Estimated Probability: 51.79%
Implied Probability: 48.54%
Expected Value: 1.067
Value Bet: No ❌
AI Stats Summary

Lorient arrive with a clear quality edge and slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Nantes’ defensive solidity at home offers some resistance, but Lorient’s sharper attack against a comparable defense hints at a controlled away performance. The moderate odds on under 2.5 goals align with a cautious tempo, where both sides may prioritize structure over open play.

  • Lorient’s offensive edge vs Nantes’ defense
  • Home defensive resilience but limited scoring
  • Balanced pace favoring a tactical, less open game

Head-to-Head Performance

Average statistics per match for the current season

Statistic Nantes Lorient
Goals Scored 0.91 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.44
Shots on Target 2.64 3.83
Corners 3.82 3.5
Possession (%) 43.55 44
Efficiency index 101.27 89.89
Adjusted index 69.65 83.68
  • Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
  • Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.