Home Win
29.5%
Draw
26.6%
Away Win
44%
| Best Bet: | BTTS No |
| Odds: | 2.06 |
| Estimated Probability: | 51.79% |
| Implied Probability: | 48.54% |
| Expected Value: | 1.067 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Lorient arrive with a clear quality edge and slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Nantes’ defensive solidity at home offers some resistance, but Lorient’s sharper attack against a comparable defense hints at a controlled away performance. The moderate odds on under 2.5 goals align with a cautious tempo, where both sides may prioritize structure over open play.
- Lorient’s offensive edge vs Nantes’ defense
- Home defensive resilience but limited scoring
- Balanced pace favoring a tactical, less open game
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Nantes | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 0.91 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.86 | 1.44 |
| Shots on Target | 2.64 | 3.83 |
| Corners | 3.82 | 3.5 |
| Possession (%) | 43.55 | 44 |
| Efficiency index | 101.27 | 89.89 |
| Adjusted index | 69.65 | 83.68 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


