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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Metz — Marseille

Match Metz vs Marseille October 4, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 15:00
0:3
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
L D L W W Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Clement Turpin, France
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 41% · book 2.73
Hit
Home Team Total Under 0.5
Home Team Total Under 0.5
AI 44% · book 2.50
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 18% · book 6.50
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.15 – 2.52
Δ −2.37
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Metz vs Marseille — betting preview

Marseille arrive with a stronger all-round profile and steadier form, while Metz’s home output has lacked punch. Expect the visitors to control long stretches and generate the cleaner chances; Metz are more reliant on moments and set pieces. Our numbers keep away-sided outcomes ahead, but the prices are already tight on the straight away win. Smarter angles lean toward home fade protection (1X cover for Metz is fairly priced) and selective positions on game state—either Metz to blank or the total to lift if Marseille strike first.

Main risks: an early Metz goal flipping the script, penalty variance, and a late stretch if OM chase or protect a narrow lead.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MET 3-4-2-1 · MAR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · MET
21' Colin ↑ · Gbamin
79' Toure ↑ · Deminguet
79' Madjo ↑ · Diallo
79' Tsitaishvili ↑ · Ballo-Toure
Subs used · MAR
64' Balerdi ↑ · Gomes
64' Gouiri ↑ · Vaz
80' Murillo ↑ · Weah
80' Nadir ↑ · Paixao
85' Vermeeren ↑ · O'Riley

📊 Statistics

MET 03 MAR
38%
Possession (%)
62%
0.15
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.52
4
Total Shots
21
1
Shots on Target
9
2
Shots off Target
10
1
Shots Inside Box
11
4
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
7
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

12 · 0 – 3
M. Colin ↓ · J. Gbamin ↑
Substitution 1
21'
Half-time · 0 – 0
51'
I. Paixao
Assist · R. Vaz · 0–1
64'
L. Balerdi ↓ · A. Gomes ↑
Substitution 1
64'
A. Gouiri ↓ · R. Vaz ↑
Substitution 2
69'
M. O'Riley
Assist · A. Gouiri · 0–2
76'
A. Gouiri
Assist · M. O'Riley · 0–3
A. Toure ↓ · J. Deminguet ↑
Substitution 2
79'
B. Madjo ↓ · H. Diallo ↑
Substitution 3
79'
G. Tsitaishvili ↓ · F. Ballo-Toure ↑
Substitution 4
79'
80'
M. Murillo ↓ · T. Weah ↑
Substitution 3
80'
B. Nadir ↓ · I. Paixao ↑
Substitution 4
85'
A. Vermeeren ↓ · M. O'Riley ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.73 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5 2.50 44% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Home Win 6.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.63 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.13 48% Cashed +1.13 Cashed
Draw 5.00 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.55 61% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L −0.82u −12% ROI