Match Hellas Verona vs Atalanta December 6, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.96 — +12.8% better than the market.

Atalanta enter this clash with clear quality and form advantages over Verona. The visitors' stronger attack faces a home defense that has struggled recently, while Atalanta's recent wins suggest growing momentum. Verona’s home edge is limited, hinting Atalanta’s pressing and tactical discipline could dominate. Expect a controlled pace with chances for Atalanta to capitalize on set-pieces and transitions.

Atalanta’s offensive edge against Verona’s defense
Verona’s poor recent form and defensive frailty
Moderate tempo favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.96 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VER 3-5-2 · ATA 3-4-2-1

VER · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · ATA

25 Mosquera

Subs used · VER

81'

Sarr ↑ ·

Mosquera ↓

88'

Oyegoke ↑ ·

Giovane ↓

88'

Harroui ↑ ·

Niasse ↓

90+2'

Valentini ↑ ·

Frese ↓

90+2'

Kastanos ↑ ·

Belghali ↓

Subs used · ATA

46'

Kolasinac ↑ ·

Kossounou ↓

46'

Scamacca ↑ ·

Krstovic ↓

61'

Pasalic ↑ ·

Ederson ↓

61'

Zalewski ↑ ·

Zappacosta ↓

70'

Samardzic ↑ ·

De Ketelaere ↓

📊 Statistics

VER 3 – 1 ATA

36%

Possession (%)

64%

0.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.47

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 1

R. Belghali

Assist · D. Mosquera · 1–0

⚽

28'

Giovane

2–0

⚽

36'

Victor Nelsson

Yellow Card

▮

45'

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

S. Kolasinac ↓ · O. Kossounou ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

G. Scamacca ↓ · N. Krstovic ↑

Substitution 2

Martin Frese

Yellow Card

▮

50'

61'

⇄

M. Pasalic ↓ · Ederson ↑

Substitution 3

61'

⇄

N. Zalewski ↓ · D. Zappacosta ↑

Substitution 4

65'

▮

Marten de Roon

Yellow Card

70'

⇄

L. Samardzic ↓ · C. De Ketelaere ↑

Substitution 5

A. Bernede

Assist · Giovane · 3–0

⚽

71'

A. Sarr ↓ · D. Mosquera ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

81'

⚽

G. Scamacca (P)

Penalty · 3–1

D. Oyegoke ↓ · Giovane ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

88'

A. Harroui ↓ · C. Niasse ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

88'

N. Valentini ↓ · M. Frese ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+2'

G. Kastanos ↓ · R. Belghali ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+2'

Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.96	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.74	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.94	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	46%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.01	—	42%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.32	—	37%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.20	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.35	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	4.14	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	68%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	—	22%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Home Win	5.40	—	14%	Cashed	+4.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	4.03	—	14%	Cashed	+3.03	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+4.48u	+26% ROI