Home Win
73.5%
Draw
19.2%
Away Win
7.4%
| Best Bet: | Under 2.5 |
| Odds: | 2.28 |
| Estimated Probability: | 49.82% |
| Implied Probability: | 43.86% |
| Expected Value: | 1.136 |
| Value Bet: | No ❌ |
Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against St. Pauli's defense. Their recent form shows resilience and consistency, while St. Pauli struggles to find wins on the road. Dortmund's compact block and pressing intensity should limit St. Pauli's chances, suggesting a controlled game with moderate goal opportunities. The odds hint at a balanced pace, favoring Dortmund's ability to capitalize on set-pieces and quick transitions.
- Home attacking pressure vs away defensive frailty
- Superior recent form and home confidence
- Moderate tempo likely, favoring disciplined play
Head-to-Head Performance
Average statistics per match for the current season
| Statistic | Borussia Dortmund | FC St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.57 | 0.83 |
| Shots on Target | 4.38 | 3.6 |
| Corners | 4.06 | 5.13 |
| Possession (%) | 51.5 | 46.8 |
| Efficiency index | 108.8 | 94.97 |
| Adjusted index | 131.95 | 66.96 |
- Efficiency index — Efficiency index — reflects how well a team converts chances (xG vs goals scored).
- Adjusted index — Adjusted index — overall team strength adjusted for xG, form, attack and defense quality.


